← Black Label TCG Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 1
at Black Label TCG Store Championship
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
8-4-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
65.5%
avg ELO +6.6 per match
expected value
55.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1384
· median 1384
· range 1357–1410
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1091
Q1 1199
Q3 1421
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 21.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.2% | +4.0 |
| Water Fractal | 15.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.3% | +13.7 |
| Fire Exia Jin | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.1% | -14.3 |
| Fire Neos | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.2% | +24.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.2% | +4.0 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
